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U.S. Department Of Defense·Virginia

National Security Economic Theory (NASCENT)

Closes 4/24/2026$500k – $5MRequest for Proposal
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Description

The National Security Economic Theory (NASCENT) program aims to establish a principled theoretical foundation for geoeconomics, enabling evidence-based economic statecraft and defining a rigorous scholarly field of quantitative geoeconomics. The program seeks to achieve the following objectives: test the technical hypothesis that economic mechanism design, computer science formal methods, and experimental economics can be combined to construct a robust scientific framework for geoeconomics, and prevent strategic surprise by building the methodologies and tools necessary to both anticipate and mitigate unintended consequences of economic statecraft. Key aspects of the program include: * Development of a geoeconomic toolbox to provide an operational advantage to the Department of War (DoW), other U.S. Government entities, and the U.S. private sector * Creation of novel economic mechanisms that generate economic value while creating positive national security outcomes for the United States * Reduction to practice of NASCENT theory in algorithmic form * Sound assumptions that are precisely described, realistic, and minimal * Research methodology approaches that may range from novel approaches to "pencil and paper" mathematics, microeconomic theory, and theoretical computer science to usage of highly parameterized transformer-based models * Notional operational use of theory, including the creation of a "playbook" of notional geoeconomic responses to preconditions created by adversary actions * Test and evaluation of geoeconomic theory developed by NASCENT performers according to the metrics described in the program metrics section.

Attached files

Contact

[email protected]

Key dates

Opened
2/23/2026
Questions due
3/2/2026
Pre-bid meeting
2/23/2026
Closes
4/24/2026
Duration
24 months

Last updated

Details

Type
Request for Proposal
Industry
Information Technology and Software Development
NAICS
541715
Solicitation №
DARPA-PS-26-14

Budget estimate

$500,000 – $5,000,000

The budget for this opportunity is likely to be in the range of $500,000 to $5 million, considering the complexity and scope of the project. The actual budget will depend on the proposal and the negotiation with the selected proposer. The factors that may influence the likely payment range include the level of expertise and experience of the proposer, the complexity of the research and development required, and the potential impact of the project on national security.

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