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U.S. Department Of Transportation·Massachusetts

Predictive Modeling for Unrated Carriers

Closes 3/26/2026$200k – $500kRequest for Quotation
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Description

The U.S. Department of Transportation/John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center (Volpe Center) is seeking a contractor to develop and validate a predictive actuarial model that assigns an Interim Risk Rating to unrated Mexican-domiciled carriers with authorities to operate along the US-Mexico commercial border zone or to conduct long-haul international transport. The model will serve as a statistically valid proxy for FMCSA safety ratings, segmenting Mexican-domiciled carriers into distinct risk pools based on their probability of safety incidents and FMCSA violations. The contractor will be required to provide a firm fixed price quote for the project, which includes tasks such as confirming aggregation of multisource dataset, defining risk pools and scoring algorithms, and providing monthly status reports and teleconferences. • The predictive actuarial model must be developed and validated in accordance with the attached statement of work and terms and conditions. • The contractor must provide a firm fixed price quote for the project. • The project includes tasks such as confirming aggregation of multisource dataset, defining risk pools and scoring algorithms, and providing monthly status reports and teleconferences. • The contractor must maintain their SAM registration throughout the life of the contract. • The Government intends to award a firm fixed price purchase order as a result of this Combined Synopsis/Solicitation.

Attached files

Contact

Karen M. Marino(Contracting Officer)

karen.marino@dot.gov

(617) 930-2546

Key dates

Opened
3/19/2026
Questions due
3/24/2026
Closes
3/26/2026
Duration
186 days

Last updated

Details

Type
Request for Quotation
Industry
Information Technology and Software Development
NAICS
541519
Solicitation №
6913G626Q300020

Budget estimate

$200,000 – $500,000

The budget for this project is expected to be in the range of $200,000 to $500,000. This estimate is based on the fact that the project involves developing and validating a predictive actuarial model, which requires professional and technical expertise. The contractor will be required to provide a firm fixed price quote for the project, which includes tasks such as confirming aggregation of multisource dataset, defining risk pools and scoring algorithms, and providing monthly status reports and teleconferences. The duration of the project is approximately 6 months, which also supports this estimate.

AI estimate from the solicitation

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